Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 24.940153 29.710080 35.697799 43.988923 55.563350 71.827350 97.851207
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.684286 25.102371 32.715933 44.873608 65.381273 102.562784 189.558978
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.245347 21.484511 29.320052 42.936560 68.921719 125.894221 315.889151
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.307000 19.477578 27.613402 42.812797 75.298729 161.916036 622.579494
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.493713 17.304019 25.108393 40.363613 75.506543 183.624236 1085.380784
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.950259 15.325782 22.559620 37.107590 72.299681 191.990035 1693.196006
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.804526 13.847308 20.641863 34.656030 70.103978 202.957967 3003.822048
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.011824 14.594070 22.756595 41.226525 96.853807 422.102235 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.721434 14.449489 23.185574 44.197796 115.960961 750.494404 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.928178 13.334320 21.550112 41.620829 112.511227 826.490017 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.635423 13.084675 21.613077 43.473559 129.513896 1564.111013 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.216639 12.562589 21.038877 43.449123 138.390856 2631.076754 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.794152 12.027369 20.433712 43.398287 148.943463 5711.565758 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.476579 11.662443 20.152597 44.276724 167.233888 34205.084481 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.011067 10.974852 19.070617 42.377844 165.520192 124447.953607 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.704218 10.569423 18.576020 42.256498 177.305763 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.288894 9.923698 17.466722 39.854411 168.838254 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.856742 9.222523 16.178332 36.658810 151.953598 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.500548 8.654034 15.159760 34.251037 140.698554 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.676070 9.139553 16.625055 40.700888 219.240408 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.628445 9.173716 17.028373 43.614257 280.248811 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.336583 8.689387 16.102524 41.087624 259.950334 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 5.254063 8.632220 16.240791 42.904319 314.985042 NaN NaN